Any quarterback with a streak of 10 straight wins under certain circumstances could guarantee that his team is of high interest for NFL survivor picks. Such is the case with Aaron Rodgers, who has won 10 straight Monday Night Football starts. However, with the Jets visiting the 49ers on Monday, you’d be forgiven if your Week 1 NFL survival strategy looks elsewhere than Rodgers and New York. A quarterback who hasn’t completed a pass in 20 months visiting the defending NFC Champions makes the Jets one of the least attractive teams for Week 1 NFL knockout pool picks. Fortunately, you have 31 other picks to choose from, including San Francisco, but your NFL playoff picks must be strategic, looking at the rest of the season. Before wrapping up some Week 1 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in.
The model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, tops $7,000 for $100 players. top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 list in top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds and locked in its Week 1 survivor pool selection. You can just see who the model is supporting this week at SportsLine.
Top Week 1 NFL survivor pool predictions
In Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season, the model runs away from the Miami Dolphins, even though they are coming off an 11-6 season and are favored over a Jaguars team that went 9-8 and missed the playoffs. The way to beat the Dolphins is to get to Tua Tagovailoa and make him uncomfortable in the pocket. Miami went just 1-5 last season when Tagovailoa was sacked at least three times, and few teams generate pressure like Jacksonville does. It ranked in the top eight in 2023 in QB hurries, QB pressures and QB knockdowns, while LB Josh Hines-Allen’s 17.5 sacks were the second most in the league.
Former No. 1 overall pick DE Travon Walker had 10 sacks, and the team added former 49ers standout Arik Armstead to the interior D-line. Miami’s offense was already in decline late last year, as its scoring total fell over each of its final four games. Given that, and the Jags’ ability to push the pocket, the model avoids the Dolphins for Week 1 NFL survivors and saves them for another week. See which team to pick instead here.
How to make picks for the Week 1 NFL survivors
Instead, the model supports a surprising home team that wins outright in almost 80% of simulations. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play on SportsLine.
Which surprise team is a must in your Week 1 survivor? Visit SportsLine now to see which team is taking you to victory in Week 1, all from the advanced computer model that has consistently crushed the NFL and risen well over $7,000 since its inception..
