You probably wouldn’t think to use a team in Week 4 NFL survivor pool picks coming off back-to-back losses. That’s the situation the 49ers find themselves in, but when you look at their opponent on Sunday, San Francisco’s prospects for the Week 4 NFL knockout pool picks are more intriguing. The 49ers host the New England Patriots, a team averaging just 13 points per game this season. San Francisco, meanwhile, is averaging 407.3 yards per game on offense, which is third in the league, despite mounting injuries.
According to the latest Week 4 NFL odds, Patriots vs. 49ers (-10.5) is the only game that features a double-digit spread. Can you count on the 49ers to secure the win on home soil in Week 4 or should you look elsewhere when locking in your Week 4 NFL elimination pool picks? Before wrapping up some Week 4 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in.
The model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, tops $7,000 for $100 players. top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. It’s also on a 41-22 roll in top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed it is way up.
The model can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which requires picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice. In Week 1, the model recommended the Saints as their top survivor pick. New Orleans won 79% of SportsLine’s simulations, and the Saints dominated Carolina, 47-10, in what was the lopsided game of the opening week. Then in Week 2, the model recommended the Chargers, who were also picked to win in 79% of simulations, and LA also manhandled the Panthers, 26-3. In Week 3, the model supported Seattle to win 74% of the time, and the Seahawks easily dispatched of Miami, 24-3.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 4 NFL odds and locked in its Week 4 survivor pool selection. You can just see who the model is supporting this week at SportsLine.
Top Week 4 NFL survivor pool predictions
In Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season, the model runs away from the 49ers (-10.5, 40.5) against New England, although the Niners are the first double-digit favorite of the season. The 49ers were decimated by injuries at the beginning of this season. Running back Christian McCaffrey was put on IR with an Achilles injury, while both George Kittle (hamstring) and Deebo Samuel (calf) missed last week’s loss to the Rams.
Samuel is expected to miss Sunday’s showdown against the Patriots, which limits San Francisco’s offensive production. In addition, the 49ers are giving up 23.0 points per game on defense this season, which is 21st in the NFL. Plus, the Niners are just 1-7 against the spread in their last eight games at home, which means they could be in for a fight on Sunday. With New England also coming off an extended rest, the Niners are just too risky to use in Week 4 NFL rainouts. See which team to pick instead here.
How to make picks for the Week 4 NFL survivors
Instead, the model supports a surprise team that wins outright in well over 70% of simulations. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play on SportsLine.
Which surprise team is a must-back in your Week 4 NFL survivor? Visit SportsLine now to see which team leads you to victory in Week 4, all from the advanced computer model that nailed its Weeks 1, 2 and 3 survivor picks and has risen well over $7,000 since its inception..
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