FRISCO, Texas — Both the Baltimore Ravens (0-2) and the Dallas Cowboys (1-1) are looking to bounce back after deflating Week 2 losses.
Baltimore is coming off a 26-23 home loss to the Las Vegas Raiders after trailing 23-13 in the fourth quarter, marking their 11th loss when leading by seven or more points in the fourth quarter since 2020. If that sounds like a lot, well that’s because it is. No one else in the NFL has more than seven such losses in the 2020s, and the Ravens’ 11 such losses are the most by any team in a five-year span in the game-by-game data tracking era, dating back to 1991.
Meanwhile, the Cowboys are coming off their second straight home loss in a streak in which they allowed 44 or more points between their 2023 NFC Wild Card Round loss to the Green Bay Packers (48-32) and their Week 2 face-plant against the Nov. Orleans Saints (44-19). Those two home losses in a row make them the only team since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger to allow 44 or more points in back-to-back home games.
The good news for the Cowboys is that they are 10-1 in their last 11 games after a loss, and quarterback Dak Prescott’s 116.4 passer rating in games after a loss since 2021, when he returned from his horrific season-ending ankle injury he suffered. in 2020, is the best in the NFL in that span.
Cowboys last 11 games after a loss
WL | 10-1 |
PPG | 31.7 |
PPG Allowed | 16.5 |
PPG Difference | +15.3 |
Reigning NFL MVP and Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson has lost three straight starts dating back to last season’s AFC Championship Game, and he will look to avoid losing four in a row for the first time in his college or pro football career.
Let’s dig into Sunday’s contest and predict a winner.
Everyone NFL odds is via SportsLine Consensus.
How to look
Date: Sunday, September 22 | Time: 4:25 pm ET
Location: AT&T Stadium (Arlington, Texas)
Channel: Fox | Stream: fubo
Follow: CBS Sports App
Probability: Crows -1; O/U 47.5
When the Ravens have the ball
Jackson, a two-time NFL MVP, possesses a “really remarkable” ability to extend plays while battling both inside and outside the pocket, according to Cowboys coach Mike McCarthy. Combine that with four-time Pro Bowl running back Derrick “King” Henry, and the Cowboys have a tall task ahead of them Sunday in terms of stopping the run.
“Keep emphasizing tackling,” McCarthy said of defending Henry on Thursday. “Think the biggest thing is making sure we’re right. Make sure we’re clean on where our feet are and so forth. … So much of what we do is more about the footwork and the angles and the anticipation, taking the first step and getting the first punch in. We do our team basics, so when we have treatment, which we do every Wednesday in shells format, it requires the footwork and the angles and the approach, but then we have the padded work today [Thursday]so that’s obviously a bit more dynamic. Those are the things you work on every week. We obviously understand who we’re playing against and how we have to deal.”
However, Dallas three-time All-Pro edge rusher Micah Parsons feels the Cowboys defense needs to worry more about themselves than their Week 3 opponent. They were smoked by five-time Pro Bowl running back Alvin Kamara for 115 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 20 carries, an average of 5.8 yards per carry in New Orleans’ 44-19 Week 2 win at the Cowboys on Sunday. Kamara totaled 180 yards from scrimmage to go along with four touchdowns.
“I think it was effort and technique… At some point, all 11 [on the field] have to have the same mindset, and that’s just toughness,” Parsons said Wednesday. “You talk about who you want to be and all this other stuff. but you have to go there and be. It can’t be just one guy. There can’t be two guys. There are all 11 children. It takes everyone. I affect the linebackers, the linebackers affect the DBs. We are not all in sync. One group will rise, then another group will rise. It is a synchronized chain. So at the end of the day, it’s about toughness and having the mindset like I’m going to dominate the man in front of me. Not all 11 had that last week.”
Dallas’ focus is centered on the run so that the Cowboys’ elite pass rush, powered by Parsons, can earn the right to rush Jackson as a passer. Saints quarterback Derek Carr only had to drop back to pass, in the traditional sense without play-action, just five times on Sunday. That was the lowest amount of true dropbacks (no play-action) in a Week 2 game by a significant margin when the next quarterback over Carr, Cardinals Pro Bowler Kyler Murray, had 13 in a 41-10 win against the Los Angeles Rams . If they get the Ravens into predictable passing and distance both he and second-year linebacker DeMarvion Overshown will be candidates to QB spy Jackson.
“It’s a great opportunity,” Parsons said of him and Overshown spying on Jackson to keep him in the pocket. “As long as we stay in our rush lanes, we do what we have to, but the important thing is to get him to pass the ball. We didn’t do a good enough job. So until we show that we can score. the right [to pass rush]I mean what, we had three dropbacks last game? That is outrageous. That’s not even a football game. It’s like we’re playing pony football again. So until we get the basics right, I’m not even worried about Lamar at this point.”
When the Cowboys have the ball
Offensively, Dallas hopes to get its running back of undrafted veteran Rico Dowdle, late-career Ezekiel Elliott and 2023 sixth-round pick Deuce Vaughn more than the 36 carries they’ve received through two weeks to better evaluate what they have. the position So far, it hasn’t been great. Their ground attack averages 85 yards per game (26th in the NFL) and 3.7 yards per game (26th in the NFL).
What the Cowboys really need is simply for their passing game to look like it did in 2023 when Prescott led the NFL with 36 passing touchdowns and wide receiver CeeDee Lamb led the NFL with 135 catches. One thing that will certainly help that cause is the return of Pro Bowl tight end Jake Ferguson from his bone bruise/MCL sprain he suffered in Week 1 with the Browns. He was held out of their Week 2 game against the Saints, but Ferguson was a full practice participant on Friday and did not have game status. He plays ball. Prescott explained how crucial his presence is after the loss against the Saints.
“Everywhere,” Prescott said after the game on Sunday when asked where Ferguson was missed. “I guess you can say those young tight ends [Schoonmaker and undrafted rookie Brevyn Spann-Ford] did a good job. Simply put, they did a good job. As I’ve said all week, Jake is more than just a tight end on Sunday. He is an aggressor. He brings a physical nature to this group. He’s got a mind that other guys feed off of, that’s very contagious, but those other guys played well. They did their job and started walking. The made some plays, but [the game] just left us.”
Another crucial component to the passing game opposing is getting Prescott and Lamb back on the same page after the latter missed the Cowboys’ entire offseason program, including training camp, while keeping his prospective four-year, $136 million contract he signed. at the end of August. They missed what should have been a touchdown early in the second quarter against New Orleans because of a miscommunication. Prescott said Thursday that a return to form in the passing game is “imminent.”
Prediction
This matchup between two regular postseason participants will also be close, but Dallas’ inability to stop the run and get off the field will be their undoing on Sunday in a three-point loss.
Predicted score: Ravens 27-24
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