The Atlanta Falcons (1-2) will play their first division game of the season when they take on the New Orleans Saints (2-1) in an NFC South battle on Sunday afternoon. Atlanta stunned Philadelphia in a comeback road win two weeks ago before falling to Kansas City in a 22-17 final last week. New Orleans cruised to a pair of blowout wins to open the season, but lost to Philadelphia by a field goal last Sunday. These rivals split their series last year, with the home team winning on both occasions.
Kickoff is set for 1 pm ET on Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons are favored by 2.5 points in the latest Falcons vs. Saints, while the over/under is 41.5 points, according to the SportsLine consensus. Before getting into some Saints vs. Falcons picks, you want to see the model’s NFL predictions at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, rises well above $7,000 for $100 players on top rated. NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 188-130 run. top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It’s also on a 42-22 roll in top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed it is way up.
The model fixed her eyes New Orleans vs. Atlanta. You can go to SportsLine at see its options. Here are several NFL betting lines for the game:
- Falcons vs. Saints spread: Falcons -2.5
- Falcons vs. Saints over/under: 41.5 points
- Falcons vs. Saints money line: Falcons -124, Saints +115
- Falcons vs. Saints Picks: See options here
Why the Falcons can cover
Atlanta is at home for the third time in its first four games, while New Orleans is on the road for the second time in three weeks. The Falcons destroyed Philadelphia two weeks ago with a game-winning touchdown drive by quarterback Kirk Cousins, and he came close to pulling off another such drive last week against Kansas City. Cousins threw for 626 yards and four touchdowns through his first three games of the season, completing 66.7% of his passes.
Wide receiver Drake London became the fastest player in Falcons history to reach 150 career receptions after catching six passes against the Chiefs. New Orleans is coming off its first loss of the campaign, as its offense went quiet in a 15-12 setback against the Eagles. The Falcons have covered the spread in four of their last six games against the Saints, including a 24-15 win at home last season. See which team to pick here.
Why the Saints can cover
New Orleans was the second highest scoring team in the NFL through the first three weeks of the season, averaging 34.3 points per game. The Saints scored 44 points in a blowout win at Dallas in their lone road game, as running back Alvin Kamara rushed for 115 yards and three touchdowns while catching two passes for 65 yards and a score.
Veteran quarterback Derek Carr leads the high-powered offense with 585 passing yards and six touchdowns, with Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed and Kamara all going for over 130 receiving yards. He faces an Atlanta defense that has allowed at least 18 points in every game. The Saints had won five straight games in Atlanta before last year’s loss, and they’ve covered the spread in four of their last five games. See which team to pick here.
How to make Falcons vs. Saints picks
The model simulated Saints vs. Falcons 10,000 times and the results are in. The model leans Super, and it also generated a point-spread selection that hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the selection at SportsLine.
So who wins Atlanta vs. New Orleans on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Saints vs. Falcons spread you should be on throughout Sunday, all from the model on a 188-130 roll on its top-rated NFL picks.and find out.
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