Broncos rookie quarterback Bo Nix has thrown two interceptions in each of Denver’s two losses, but he had a clean performance in a 26-7 win at Tampa Bay last week. He will aim for another smooth outing when he faces the Jets on the road during the Week 4 NFL schedule. The Jets sacked quarterbacks on a league-low 16.8% of pass attempts, doing so mostly with four-man pressure. Keeping the pocket clean for Nix will be critical for the Broncos, who are 7.5-point underdogs in the Week 4 NFL odds.
Denver is the second-biggest favorite in the Week 4 NFL spreads, as San Francisco is a 10.5-point favorite against New England. The Patriots have allowed 10 sacks in their last 10 games, but the 49ers are coming off a pair of straight losses as favorites. All Week 4 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting tips and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 4 NFL picks right now..
The model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, raises well over $7,000 for $100 players on an A rating. NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 list in A-rated NFL picks as of Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 4 NFL odds and NFL betting lines on the spread, moneyline, and over-under, and locked in picks for every NFL game. Go here to see each selection.
Top Week 4 NFL predictions
We can tell you that one of the model’s strongest Week 4 NFL picks is the Saints (+3, 41) covering the spread against the Falcons. The last time these two teams met was in January, when the Saints put down a 48-17 demolition of the Falcons at home. Derek Carr threw for four touchdowns in the win and was even better in his second season with the Saints.
Carr is completing 68.8% of his passes through three weeks and his 9.1 yards per pass attempt leads the NFL. New Orleans blew out the Panthers and Cowboys to open the season before suffering a 15-12 loss late against the Eagles last week. The model expects the Saints to bounce back in a big way on Sunday, predicting they will win outright 60% of the time and covering the 2.5-point spread in well over 60% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.
Another of its Week 4 NFL betting predictions: the Steelers (-2, 40) cover on the road against the Colts. Pittsburgh’s run defense slowed Chargers running back JK Dobbins last week, holding him to just 44 yards on 15 attempts. They will now face Colts running back Jonathan Taylor, who leads a rushing attack that averages 5.4 yards per carry.
Steelers edge rusher TJ Watt has 5.5 sacks, four tackles for loss, 15 tackles and two forced fumbles in five career games against the Colts. He had two sacks and two tackles for loss in the most recent meeting (Week 15 of last season) and is on pace to become the second fastest player to reach 100 career sacks behind Reggie White. SportsLine’s model expects Watt to disrupt again Sunday, one reason why the Steelers cover the spread in well over 50% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.
How to make Week 4 NFL picks
The model also called who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 4 NFL schedule and just revealed three teams that win outright at least 70% of the time, potentially giving you a huge payday. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
So, what NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which three must-see teams should you lock in right now? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a tested computer model that returned well over $7,000.and find out.
Week 4 NFL betting odds, lines, spreads
Get Week 4 NFL picks at SportsLine
Sunday, September 29
Saints at Falcons (-3, 41)
Bengals at Panthers (+4.5, 47)
Rams at Bears (-3, 40.5)
Vikings at Packers (-2.5, 43.5)
Jaguars at Texans (-6, 44.5)
Steelers at Colts (+2, 40)
Broncos at Jets (-7.5, 39.5)
Eagles at Buccaneers (+1.5, 42.5)
Commanders at Cardinals (-3.5, 49)
Patriots at 49ers (-10.5, 40.5)
Browns at Raiders (-1.5, 36.5)
Chiefs at Chargers (+7.5, 40)
Bills at Ravens (-2.5, 46.5)
Monday, September 30th
Titans at Dolphins (-1, 36.5)
Seahawks at Lions (-3.5, 46.5)
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