Paying attention to NFL betting trends is a key component to making NFL vs. the spread picks each week. One trend of note during the 2024 season was that road teams were underrated. Teams playing away from home are 26-20-2 against the spread through the first three weeks of the season. Which road teams should you be rooting for as you place your top Week 4 NFL bets and NFL picks? The Vikings are a perfect 3-0 against the spread and straight up. They will visit the Packers on Sunday as 2.5-point underdogs in the latest Week 4 NFL odds. All Week 4 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting tips and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 4 NFL picks right now..
The model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, raises well over $7,000 for $100 players on an A rating. NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 list in A-rated NFL picks as of Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 4 NFL odds and NFL betting lines on the spread, moneyline, and over-under, and locked in picks for every NFL game. Go here to see each selection.
Top Week 4 NFL predictions
We can tell you that one of the model’s strongest Week 4 NFL picks is the Saints (+2.5, 42) covering the spread against the Falcons. These teams are only separated by a game in the NFC South standings but the Saints have certainly looked more compelling as NFC contenders over the first three weeks. Their offense exploded in wins over the Panthers and Cowboys, and then it took a late comeback by the Eagles to knock them off in a tough battle in Week 3.
Meanwhile, the Falcons couldn’t get things going offensively and they could easily be 0-3 if not for some luck against the Eagles in Week 2 despite playing competitively in all three of their matchups. The Saints are 4-1 against the spread over their last five games dating back to last season while Atlanta is 1-4. That’s a big reason why the model has New Orleans covered in well over 60% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.
Another of its Week 4 NFL betting predictions: the Steelers (-1.5, 40) cover on the road against the Colts. The Steelers are the only team other than the Vikings that have been perfect against the spread this season and now they will face a Colts squad that is off to a bit of a sluggish start.
Indianapolis lost to Houston and Green Bay (without Jordan Love) to start the season and then sneaked by the Bruins in Week 3. The Colts rank 31st in the NFL in total defense while the Steelers rank first in the NFL in points allowed and yards allowed. . Ultimately, that defensive edge is a big reason why the model has the Steelers covering the spread in well over 50% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.
How to make Week 4 NFL picks
The model also called who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 4 NFL schedule and just revealed three teams that win outright at least 70% of the time, potentially giving you a huge payday. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
So, what NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which three must-see teams should you lock in right now? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a tested computer model that returned well over $7,000.and find out.
Week 4 NFL betting odds, lines, spreads
Get Week 4 NFL picks at SportsLine
Sunday, September 29
Saints at Falcons (-2.5, 42)
Bengals at Panthers (+4.5, 47)
Rams at Bears (-3, 40.5)
Vikings at Packers (-2.5, 43.5)
Jaguars at Texans (-6, 45.5)
Steelers at Colts (+1.5, 40)
Broncos at Jets (-7.5, 39.5)
Eagles at Buccaneers (+1.5, 43)
Commanders at Cardinals (-3.5, 50.5)
Patriots at 49ers (-10.5, 40.5)
Browns at Raiders (-1.5, 37)
Chiefs at Chargers (+7, 40)
Bills at Ravens (-2.5, 46.5)
Monday, September 30th
Titans at Dolphins (-1, 36.5)
Seahawks at Lions (-3.5, 46.5)
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