No NFC North team has played a divisional matchup through the first three weeks, but that will change during the Week 4 NFL schedule. Packers vs. Vikings will happen, with Green Bay favored by three along the Week 4 NFL lines. The teams have alternated wins and losses over their last six meetings and the series is split 7-7-1 over their last 15 matchups. Meanwhile, another NFC North team, the Bruins, will not play a divisional game but will have their first conference game of the year.
The schedule had Chicago playing in the AFC South in its first three games, but it will now see a more familiar foe on Sunday. The Bruins will host the Rams in what will be the 99th all-time meeting between the two, and the Bruins are favored by a field goal in the NFL odds. With the Lions hosting the Seahawks on Monday, which NFC North teams warrant your Week 4 NFL picks? All Week 4 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting tips and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 4 NFL picks right now..
The model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, raises well over $7,000 for $100 players on an A rating. NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 list in A-rated NFL picks as of Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 4 NFL odds and NFL betting lines on the spread, moneyline, and over-under, and locked in picks for every NFL game. Go here to see each selection.
Top Week 4 NFL predictions
We can tell you that one of the model’s strongest Week 4 NFL picks is that the Saints (+1.5, 45.5) cover the spread against the Falcons in a 1 pm ET Sunday kickoff. Both teams are coming off losses, but the Saints still own the best point differential and the No. 1 scoring offense in the league. They are also elite defensively through three weeks, not allowing a single opponent to score more than 19 points as New Orleans is fifth in scoring defense. Meanwhile, Atlanta ranks 26th in scoring and has lost both of its home games.
This game will also be in Atlanta, which isn’t exactly a good thing for the home team. The Saints have won five of the last six matchups between these two in Atlanta and have won seven of the last nine meetings overall. Kirk Cousins just hasn’t looked right less than a year after tearing his Achilles tendon, as his passer rating this year (89.7) is the lowest in his 10 years as a starter. The model projects Cousins’ limitations to hold back the Falcons offense, as New Orleans (+1.5) covers well over 60% of the time. See which other teams to pick here.
Another of its Week 4 NFL betting predictions: the Steelers (-1.5, 40) cover on the road against the Colts. This current Pittsburgh team is reminiscent of its Steel Curtain days as the Steelers own the league’s number one defense in both points allowed and yards allowed. They also top the league on both third downs and in the red zone, while Justin Fields is 7-2 over his last nine starts. He also protects the ball as he has just one turnover over his last five games.
Protecting the ball is not something you can say about Anthony Richardson, who leads the NFL with six interceptions. Five of those have come over his last two games as he posted a passer rating below 45 in each. Richardson has yet to compete for more than 50% of his passes in any game this season, despite facing just one top-10 defense so far. His ineffectiveness going up against the league’s best defense is a bad combination for the Colts, who also rank 31st in yards allowed in 2024. The model has Pittsburgh (-1.5) covering well over 50% of the time and says that the Super hits well. more than 60% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.
How to make Week 4 NFL picks
The model also called who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 4 NFL schedule and just revealed three teams that win outright at least 70% of the time, potentially giving you a huge payday. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
So, what NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which three must-see teams should you lock in right now? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a tested computer model that returned well over $7,000.and find out.
Week 4 NFL betting odds, lines, spreads
Get Week 4 NFL picks at SportsLine
Thursday, September 26
Cowboys at Giants (+4.5, 44)
Sunday, September 29
Saints at Falcons (-1.5, 45.5)
Bengals at Panthers (+5.5, 46.5)
Rams at Bears (-2.5, 41)
Vikings at Packers (-3, 43.5)
Jaguars at Texans (-4.5, 45)
Steelers at Colts (+1.5, 40)
Broncos at Jets (-7.5, 38.5)
Eagles at Buccaneers (+2.5, 45)
Commanders at Cardinals (-5, 49.5)
Patriots at 49ers (-10.5, 40)
Browns at Raiders (+1.5, 37.5)
Chiefs at Chargers (+8.5, 39.5)
Bills at Ravens (-2.5, 45.5)
Monday, September 30th
Titans at Dolphins (+1, 37.5)
Seahawks at Lions (-4, 47.5)
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