Prisco’s Week 1 NFL picks: Jaguars outscore Dolphins, Colts upset Texans |Max Sporty|

Week 1 of the NFL season is the hardest when it comes to picking games. I know I say that every year, but that’s the reality.

That’s why we usually stink.

We think we know these teams as they come out of training camp and the preseason, but do we really? You can’t get anything from preseason games, so it just comes down to knowing the roster, especially who is playing.

Every year I say I hope to get started on these options quickly, but apparently every year I don’t.

Time for a change.

I like this week’s card and I like a lot of dogs. So let’s go right with a good first week showing, because the dogs will bark — and some will win outright.

NFL Week 1 picks? Nothing to it. Just look.

Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, fubo)

This rematch of the AFC Championship game will feature two of the best in the NFL. Lamar Jackson is playing behind a rebuilt offensive line, which could be a problem early in the season against a team that loves to blitz. The Chiefs will be better this year on offense than they were a year ago, which will show here. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs defense are both off to good starts. Chiefs take it.

Choose: Chiefs 24, Ravens 18

Friday, 8:15 pm ET (Peacock)

This very first NFL game in Brazil features two of the best teams in the NFL. The Packers discovered that Jordan Love could be their guy last season, and I think that will continue here. The Eagles have backed their secondary, but they were terrible against the pass last year. Packers take it because Love is having a big night and the Packers’ offensive new-look defense is playing pretty well.

Choose: Packers 33, Eagles 28

Prisco likes the Packers to upset the Eagles in Brazil, but what does the SportsLine Projection Model — more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception — thinking about the historic showdown? Check out that prediction, as well as picks for all Week 1 games, right here.

Sunday, 1 pm ET (Fox, fubo)

This will be Russell Wilson vs. Kirk Cousins ​​as both teams have new veteran quarterbacks. Wilson and the Steelers didn’t look good in the preseason, but Cousins ​​didn’t play and is coming off a torn Achilles. The Steelers defense will be a tough matchup, but I think the Falcons will be able to topple Wilson and get some short fields. Falcons win it at home.

Choose: Falcons 23, Steelers 17

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Most important+)

The Cardinals were a fighting team last season and will be even better in 2024. But this is a tough way to open, on the road against Super Bowl challenger The Bills have a lot of new faces, but Josh Allen will still be Josh Allen. Even so, I think Arizona will keep this close. Bills take a strict.

Choose: Bills 27, Cardinals 24

Sunday, 1 pm ET (Fox, fubo)

The Bruins got a lot of the hype this summer with the addition of Caleb Williams. But this will be his first start. That’s hard for a newbie. The Titans will face Will Levis in the first game for new coach Brian Callahan. I think the Titans will keep this one close, but the Bruins will win it late.

Choose: Bears 23, Titans 21

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Most important+)

Joe Burrow is back healthy for the Bengals in this one, which immediately makes the Bengals a contender. Being at home is even more of an advantage against a Pats team that has roster limitations. New coach Jerod Mayo will have this team playing a tough brand of football, but in the second half it will be Burrow who will take over as Jacoby Brissett struggles.

Choose: Bengals 26, Pats 17

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Most important+)

This is a rematch of the game the Texans won in Week 18 to reach the playoffs last year. The Colts didn’t have Anthony Richardson in that one, but he’s now back at quarterback. CJ Stroud will build his 2023 rookie season, but opening the road is difficult. The Colts will hang in here and find a way to win it late.

Choose: Colts 24, Texans 23

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Most important+)

This will be a high scoring game. Both teams should be really good in attack, while the defenses could take time. Miami is fast, which will cause problems for the Jacksonville secondary. But the Jaguars will also score against a Miami pass rush that is missing some key players. The Jaguars will win it late on a field goal.

Choose: Jaguars 34, Dolphins 31

Sunday, 1 pm ET (Fox, fubo)

New coach Dave Canales will try to start quarterback Bryce Young in Year 2, but playing in New Orleans is never easy. The Saints should be good on defense, but they have some lines that could affect the offense. Even so, look for the Saints defense to limit Young and the Panthers when the Saints win it.

Choose: Saints 29, Panthers 16

Sunday, 1 pm ET (Fox, fubo)

Sam Darnold is the quarterback for the Vikings, playing in the stadium where he began his career with the Jets. The Giants will have Daniel Jones back as he recovers from a torn ACL. The Giants defense will be better this season with the addition of Brian Burns. They will force Darnold into some turnovers that will lead to points. Giants take it.

Choose: Giants 23, Vikings 21

Sunday, 4:05 pm ET (CBS, Most important+)

Jim Harbaugh will make his coaching debut for the Chargers, which means a more physical team. Justin Herbert is back from his foot injury, but how healthy is he now? Gardner Minshew will start for the Raiders, which gives the Chargers a big advantage at quarterback. Harbaugh will win his first game as the coach of the team thanks to a good game from Herbert.

Choose: Chargers 28, Raiders 17

Sunday, 4:05 pm ET (CBS, Most important+)

Bo Nix is ​​making his first start at quarterback for the Broncos in arguably the toughest spot to play. It will be loud. This will be the debut for new Seahawks coach Mike Macdonald, who is taking a lot of looks at quarterbacks on the defensive side. That could be a problem for Nix. Look for Seattle to win it big.

Choose: Seahawks 30, Broncos 17

Sunday, 4:25 pm ET (Fox, fubo)

Deshaun Watson has been beaten some for the Browns, but he will start at quarterback. The Cowboys have CeeDee Lamb back after his contract, which will be big. Cleveland is a tough place to play for an opener, but the Cowboys will be up to it. Look for the defense to attack Watson and turn him over as the Cowboys win a tough road game.

Choose: Cowboys 22, Browns 20

Sunday, 4:25 pm ET (Fox, fubo)

This will be the first start for Commanders rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels. Facing a Todd Bowles defense is never easy, but it’s even more difficult on the road in your first start. Look for Baker Mayfield to have success against the commanding secondary here. Bucs take it.

Choose: Bucs 27, Commanders 20

Sunday, 8:20 pm ET (NBC/Peacock, fubo)

This is a rematch of last season’s playoff game won by the Lions. Matthew Stafford’s return to Detroit will be less of a story now. The bigger story for the Rams is the defense now without the retired Aaron Donald. The Lions are physical up front so I think they will run it right at the Rams to control the game. Lions take it with a big game from Jahmyr Gibbs.

Choose: Lions 28, Rams 21

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN, fubo)

This is a long trip to play a team in an opener on Monday night for the Jets. It’s a big challenge against the defending NFC champions. But the Jets have Aaron Rodgers back. He has struggled at times against the 49ers in his career. Look for the Jets to keep this close, but the 49ers will win it late.

Choose: 49ers 23, Jets 21