The New Orleans Saints (2-1) and Atlanta Falcons (1-2) will meet in an important early season NFC South battle on Sunday afternoon. New Orleans is coming off its first loss of the campaign, falling to Philadelphia in a 15-12 final at home last week. Atlanta hopes to bounce back as well after falling to Kansas City by five points in prime time on Sunday Night Football. This is the second game of a three-game homestand for the Falcons, while the Saints open a two-game road trip.
Kickoff is set for 1 pm ET on Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons are favored by 2.5 points in the latest Falcons vs. Saints, while the over/under is 41.5 points per SportsLine consensus. Before getting into some Saints vs. Falcons picks, you want to see the NFL predictions from the tested computer model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, raises well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 188-130 run. top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 42-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks from Week 7 of 2022.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed it is way up.
The model fixed her eyes New Orleans vs. Atlanta. You can go to SportsLine at see its options. Here are several NFL betting lines for the game:
- Falcons vs. Saints spread: Falcons -2.5
- Falcons vs. Saints over/under: 41.5 points
- Falcons vs. Saints money line: Falcons -143, Saints +122
- Falcons vs. Saints Picks: See options here
Why the Falcons can cover
Atlanta is at home for the third time in its first four games, while New Orleans is on the road for the second time in three weeks. The Falcons destroyed Philadelphia two weeks ago with a game-winning touchdown drive by quarterback Kirk Cousins, and he came close to pulling off another such drive last week against Kansas City. Cousins threw for 626 yards and four touchdowns through his first three games of the season, completing 66.7% of his passes.
Wide receiver Drake London became the fastest player in Falcons history to reach 150 career receptions after catching six passes against the Chiefs. New Orleans is coming off its first loss of the campaign, as its offense went quiet in a 15-12 setback against the Eagles. The Falcons have covered the spread in four of their last six games against the Saints, including a 24-15 win at home last season. See which team to pick here.
Why the Saints can cover
New Orleans is coming off a disappointing loss to Philadelphia last week, but it enters Week 4 with the No. 2 scoring offense in the NFL at 34.3 points per game. Saints quarterback Derek Carr has 585 passing yards and six touchdowns, completing 68.8% of his passes. Star running back Alvin Kamara is off to a fantastic start this season, racking up 285 rushing yards, 132 receiving yards and five total touchdowns.
The Saints blew out the Panthers and Cowboys by a combined score of 91-29, and both of those teams are coming off wins. New Orleans cruised to a 48-17 victory over Atlanta in the final meeting between these teams last season, giving the Saints seven wins in their last 10 matchups. They have covered the spread in four of their last five games, while the Falcons have only covered once in their last five outings. See which team to pick here.
How to make Falcons vs. Saints picks
The model simulated Saints vs. Falcons 10,000 times and the results are in. The model leans Super, and it also generated a point-spread selection that hits in more than 60% of simulations. You can only see the selection at SportsLine.
So who wins Atlanta vs. New Orleans on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Saints vs. Falcons spread you should be on throughout Sunday, all from the model on a 188-130 roll on its top-rated NFL picks.and find out.
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