Tua Tagovailoa is the fulcrum of the Dolphins’ offense, evident by how much his injury caused a change in the Week 3 NFL lineups. Miami was a 2.5-point favorite over Seattle before Tagovailoa got hurt last Thursday. Now, with Skylar Thompson under center for the Dolphins, there has been a 7-point line change, with the Seahawks favored by 4.5 points in the Week 3 NFL odds. Miami is just 1-5 straight up when Tagovailoa plays less than half the snaps in a game since 2022.
The total also changed, opening at 48.5 but since dropping seven points to 41.5. You could enter this game in Week 3 NFL picks by combining pro football picks for both the spread and the over/under. Those who jumped on those early NFL Vegas lines may have an advantage, so you don’t want to wait any longer if the NFL betting odds keep changing. Before you make any Week 3 NFL picks or NFL picks, be sure see what SportsLine senior analyst Larry Hartstein has to say.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. Hartstein tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. His Vegas weekly picks form the basis of his NFL best bets column, which is 81-51-3 (61.3%, +24.65 units) since its inception in 2022. He is 2-3-1 with his best bets this season, and anyone who followed him is way up.
For Week 3, Hartstein locked in three surefire best bets. If you successfully talk his picks, you are looking at a payout of more than 6-1. You can only see Hartstein’s Week 3 NFL picks at SportsLine.
Top Week 3 NFL picks
We can tell you that Hartstein loves the Buccaneers (-6, 41) to cover against the Broncos. Even with one of the brightest offensive minds of his generation in Sean Payton as head coach, Denver is stuck in the mud on that side of the ball. It ranks in the bottom five in both points scored and yards gained, hasn’t thrown a passing TD all year and committed the most turnovers. Additionally, the Bucs have terrorized rookies like Bo Nix recently, winning four straight, covering all four, and holding those rookies to zero TDs, three turnovers and 13 sacks.
“I love this matchup for the blitz defense of Todd Bowles against Bo Nix,” Hartstein told SportsLine. “Broncos right tackle Mike McGlinchey (MCL) is out; his backups are shaky at best. This is a Denver offense that averaged 2.8 yards per play in the first three quarters before defenses moved into less aggressive mode .” See what other NFL picks to make here.
How to make Week 3 NFL speeches
Hartstein also jumped on two other NFL games, including backing one “desperate” team coming off a loss to grind out a strong Week 3 win. You can only see Hartstein’s Week 3 NFL best bets and talk at SportsLine.
What are Hartstein’s top Week 3 NFL picks, and which other NFL matchups should you target for a strong 6-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the best Week 3 NFL bets from the Vegas expert, who tops 24.65 units on NFL ATS picks.and find out.
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