Every year, managers try to get every little advantage they can. Normally, everyone’s favorite buzz word is “sleeper.” Basically, what they are asking for is a player that no one else knows about, that they can get cheaply, that will win them their league. Full disclosure, it’s usually nearly impossible to find a true sleeper.
However, there are often many players who have the potential to be a sleeper. Either a developmental leap or an increase in opportunity can allow players to see extra minutes and take advantage of the situation.
The 11 players listed below are either poised for a breakout season that will lead to long-term fantasy success, or are talented players who will be hidden behind other veterans to start the year, making this a great time to buy low. The odds are in favor of most of these not immediately (if ever), so find the two or three you feel best about and go for it.
Keon Ellis
If you were paying attention last season, Ellis might not be sleeping for you. However, I think he is in for a big season. He began the year in a minor backup role and saw a few starts when De’Aaron Fox was injured. However, he took over as the starting shooting guard when Kevin Huerter went down late in the year and thrived. He was a top-100 player after that with averages of 9.8 points, 3.7 rebounds, 2.1 assists, 1.4 steals, 0.5 blocks and 2.2 triples in 27.0 minutes per game. There is a real chance that Ellis is part of the team’s starting unit this year to provide them with more defense on the perimeter. If that happens, he should be in for a top-100 season.
Julian Strawther
During media day, Mike Malone said the starting shooting guard job will come down to Strawther and Christian Braun, and it will depend on who “compliments” the starters best. He had some solid games as a rookie where he poured in the 3-pointers, and he’s been dominant over the last two Summer Leagues. Even if Malone brings Strawther off the bench, he will still play an important role. However, if he starts providing some floor space, we could see him make a huge leap this season. Buy now before it’s too late.
Leonard Miller
Miller is coming off a great performance during Summer League despite not seeing much of an opportunity as a rookie. However, he played well in the G-League after spending the previous season as part of G-League Ignite. In 12 appearances for the Iowa Wolves last year, he averaged 16.2 points, 6.4 rebounds, 1.9 assists, 0.8 steals, 0.9 blocks and 1.5 threes in 26.7 minutes per game. Miller may be able to have more of a role with the Timberwolves this season with Karl-Anthony Towns and Kyle Anderson gone, but he hasn’t even turned 21 yet. He still has time to carve out a role, so be patient if it doesn’t come together this season.
Charles Matkovic
Matkovic was drafted with the No. 52 pick back in 2022, but he’ll have a chance to play a big role with New Orleans in his first NBA season this year. The focus was on Yves Missi, who the Pelicans took in the first round this past summer. However, Matkovic fits much better next to Zion Williamson in the frontcourt. His averages were limited by an early exit, but he put up 10.8 points, 4.3 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 1.0 steals and 1.8 blocks in 18.0 minutes per game during Summer League, which included a 25/5/1/1/3 line with two 3- pointers in one game. He may not cut out a role right away, but be patient.
Ryan Dunn
Dunn is one of my favorite players from this year’s rookie class, and he landed in a great situation. Before the Suns drafted him with the No. 28 pick last summer, Dunn averaged 1.3 steals and 2.3 blocks in just 27.5 minutes per game for Virginia. Now he will join a team that has a lot of scorers and needs some defensive help. Dunn’s current offensive game is, to say the least, limited. He will have to find a way to be more effective in that regard to play enough to make his presence felt on defense. He will have a chance to make a big impact in limited minutes as a rookie, and if he continues to develop, he can become a fantasy star.
Kobe Buffkin
Atlanta didn’t have much of a role for Bukfin during his rookie year, but that’s no reason to write him off. The Hawks have had success recently using their G-League team as a true farm system, with Jalen Johnson and (to a lesser extent) Vit Krejci as success stories. Bufkin averaged 23.6 points, 5.4 rebounds, 5.9 assists, 1.3 steals and 2.6 triples per game for the College Park Skyhawks last season, and he should see more time with Atlanta next season with Dejounte Murray gone.
Craig Porter Jr.
Despite being undrafted last season, Porter Jr. was able to put together some solid games as Cleveland dealt with injuries in its backcourt. In six starts last season, he averaged 9.8 points, 5.7 rebounds, 6.5 assists, 1.2 steals and 1.3 blocks in 27.9 minutes per game. It may take him a few years to establish a consistent role, whether that’s with Cleveland or someone else. However, he has a fantasy-friendly game, as he showed when he played a big role last season.
Jaden Springer
Through his first three years in the league, Springer wasn’t much more than a depth piece. However, the upside is still there. Over the final three games of the regular season, Springer averaged 7.0 points, 3.0 rebounds, 1.3 assists and 2.7 steals in just 19.3 minutes per game. It’s a small sample size that doesn’t mean much, but if he ever ends up in a situation where he plays a bigger role, he should be solid in fantasy rings.
Dariq Whitehead
Whitehead only played a total of 24 minutes during his junior year, and he’s dealt with a lot of injury issues to this point in his career. However, his ceiling is incredibly high. He was one of the best high school players in the class of 2022, and if he can move past the injuries that plagued his freshman and rookie years, he can end up being an incredible player.
Ricky Council IV
He may not have played much, but the undrafted rookie had some big games for the 76ers last season. He followed that up with a dominant Summer League where he averaged 18.7 points, 4.7 rebounds, 1.7 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.7 threes per game. Don’t expect him to play a big role early for Philly this year, but he’s worth stashing. He took extra minutes last year due to injuries, and that could happen again this year with the amount of aging veterans they have on their team.
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
O-Max hasn’t played much since Dallas drafted him in the first round, but he still has tremendous potential. He didn’t shoot the ball well during Summer League, but he averaged 14.6 points, 4.6 rebounds, 3.2 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.2 triples per game. The Mavs have some veteran depth ahead of him that will be prioritized on a contending team. That makes this a great time to buy low on Prosper.
