Mexico will aim to overcome a two-goal deficit on Tuesday when they host Honduras in the second leg of the Concacaf Nations League quarter-finals.
The regional heavyweight left Honduras with a surprising 2-0 loss on Friday, although it is not an unfamiliar scenario. Mexico also lost 2-0 at Honduras in the first leg of last year’s Nations League semi-final, beating them at home by the same scoreline in the second leg before advancing on penalties. The focus on Tuesday, however, is not just about seeing if El Tri can pull themselves out of this mess, but if they can prove they are on track for the strong performance they are aiming for at the 2026 World Cup.
Here’s what you need to know before setting up.
How to watch and odds
- Date: Tuesday, November 19 | time: 9:30 PM ET
- Location: Nemesio Diez Stadium — Toluca, Mexico
- A living stream Most important+
- Probability: Mexico -333; Withdrawal +430; Honduras +111
Intrigues
Concacaf’s top three sides have all made managerial changes this year in the hope of revamping their squads before hosting the World Cup in two years’ time, with Mexico hiring Javier Aguirre in July for his third spell in charge of the team. He steadied the ship in his first four games in charge, going unbeaten as El Tri began to turn the page on their Copa America group stage exit. The most impressive of those results was a 2-0 win over Mauricio Pochettino’s USA team in October when they outplayed the USMNT in attack despite an otherwise evenly contested game.
Mexico, however, suffered their first stumble on Friday in San Pedro Sula, failing to get a real foothold as they lost 2-0 to Honduras. Although they had 62% possession, they were able to translate this into a significant advantage in attack – both sides took 10 shots and were almost even on shots on target and expected goals. With goals as a requirement to advance, Mexico will need to increase the intensity in attack, just like they did against the USMNT, to dig themselves out of this hole. For a Mexico team that has gone goalless in six of its 13 games this year, however, that may be no small task.
Prediction
Mexico may have their flaws, but they have enough talent to overcome a two-goal deficit and reach the Nations League semi-finals for the fourth time in a row. Their performance against the USMNT proves that Aguiree’s Mexico can step things up a notch, so count on them to do just that on Tuesday. Whether or not they do it quickly, however, is a different story. Choose: Mexico 2, Honduras 0 (2-2 on aggregate; Mexico advance on penalties)
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